This research aimed to develop and test a new dynamic approach to preventive risk assessment of violent extremists.
The well-known New York Police Department four-phase model was used as a starting point for the conceptualization of the radicalization process, and time-stamped biographical data collected from court documents and other public sources on American homegrown Salafi-jihadist terrorism offenders were used to test the model. Behavioral sequence patterns that reliably anticipate terrorist-related criminality were identified and the typical timelines for the pathways to criminal actions estimated for different demographic subgroups in the study sample. Finally, a probabilistic simulation model was used to assess the feasibility of the model to identify common high-frequency and high-risk sequential behavioral segment pairs in the offenders’ pathways to terrorist criminality. (Publisher Abstract Provided)
Downloads
Similar Publications
- A Reflective Spectroscopy and Mineralogical Investigation of Cosmetic Blush (Wet‘N’Wild) Potentially for Forensic Investigations Related to Interpersonal Violence—An Experimental Feasibility Study
- Identification of smartphone-image source and manipulation
- Population-level Effects on Crime of Recovering Firearms from Armed Prohibited Persons: Intention-to-treat Analysis of a Pragmatic Cluster-randomised Trial in California Cities